UK Total monthly air passengers Paper: Grubb, H. and Mason, A. (2001) Long lead-time forecasting of UK air passengers by Holt-Winters methods with damped trend International Journal of Forecasting, 17, 71-82. Sources: 1949-67 Summary of Activity at Aerodromes Table 4: Passengers Handled - Scheduled and Charter flights All Operators, Terminal Jan 49 - Aug 53: M.C.A. (Ministry of Civil Aviation) and other UK Aerodromes Sept 53 - Sept 59: M.T.C.A. (Ministry of Transport and Civil Aviation) and other UK Aerodromes Oct 59 - Aug 66: M.O.A. (Ministry of Aviation) and other UK Aerodromes Sept 66 - Dec 67: B.O.T. (Board of Trade) and other UK Aerodromes 1968-72 Business Monitor, Civil Aviation Series, CA2 Air Passengers, Table 1 1973-90 CAA Monthly Airport Statistics (figures taken from following year's book, in order to catch updates) 1991 onwards Produced by CAA Airports Statistics System Contact: Howard Grubb Department of Applied Statistics The University of Reading PO Box 240, READING, RG6 6FN, UK H.J.Grubb@reading.ac.uk http://www.reading.ac.uk/~snsgrubb Alexina Mason National Air Traffic Services Ltd CAA House, 45-59 Kingsway LONDON WC2B 6TE Date Total monthly passengers Jan-49 73899 Feb-49 69383 Mar-49 87023 Apr-49 131072 May-49 154244 Jun-49 193032 Jul-49 261070 Aug-49 288347 Sep-49 238048 Oct-49 150201 Nov-49 92655 Dec-49 100370 Jan-50 94466 Feb-50 86207 Mar-50 116394 Apr-50 153373 May-50 173159 Jun-50 227745 Jul-50 315537 Aug-50 327925 Sep-50 274856 Oct-50 168585 Nov-50 92378 Dec-50 101917 Jan-51 94328 Feb-51 97299 Mar-51 146238 Apr-51 158621 May-51 200097 Jun-51 269388 Jul-51 343669 Aug-51 380398 Sep-51 323299 Oct-51 191321 Nov-51 128753 Dec-51 137633 Jan-52 122711 Feb-52 111646 Mar-52 134646 Apr-52 187393 May-52 211246 Jun-52 294460 Jul-52 391743 Aug-52 443229 Sep-52 342756 Oct-52 217999 Nov-52 154712 Dec-52 163622 Jan-53 131129 Feb-53 131770 Mar-53 174153 Apr-53 247849 May-53 282319 Jun-53 357265 Jul-53 499983 Aug-53 556172 Sep-53 414501 Oct-53 268597 Nov-53 170217 Dec-53 184770 Jan-54 171367 Feb-54 146985 Mar-54 200642 Apr-54 289733 May-54 317550 Jun-54 431612 Jul-54 601791 Aug-54 627114 Sep-54 485831 Oct-54 301055 Nov-54 200175 Dec-54 229805 Jan-55 196327 Feb-55 181201 Mar-55 238345 Apr-55 338567 May-55 386804 Jun-55 543586 Jul-55 741575 Aug-55 740148 Sep-55 598400 Oct-55 362341 Nov-55 232064 Dec-55 271822 Jan-56 240773 Feb-56 221817 Mar-56 317769 Apr-56 381760 May-56 450335 Jun-56 636900 Jul-56 825836 Aug-56 904987 Sep-56 711187 Oct-56 413184 Nov-56 285213 Dec-56 296355 Jan-57 287635 Feb-57 259882 Mar-57 339016 Apr-57 469766 May-57 541163 Jun-57 782157 Jul-57 954760 Aug-57 1070992 Sep-57 807490 Oct-57 461846 Nov-57 307721 Dec-57 317996 Jan-58 296176 Feb-58 266901 Mar-58 345012 Apr-58 466424 May-58 564607 Jun-58 758112 Jul-58 978975 Aug-58 1114482 Sep-58 829263 Oct-58 501665 Nov-58 303766 Dec-58 335788 Jan-59 313844 Feb-59 271750 Mar-59 437314 Apr-59 517920 May-59 665768 Jun-59 874516 Jul-59 1131945 Aug-59 1241972 Sep-59 991780 Oct-59 602402 Nov-59 378599 Dec-59 438778 Jan-60 417277 Feb-60 390254 Mar-60 486756 Apr-60 746197 May-60 826569 Jun-60 1130973 Jul-60 1502793 Aug-60 1516470 Sep-60 1232036 Oct-60 772724 Nov-60 504711 Dec-60 548187 Jan-61 529878 Feb-61 477183 Mar-61 677659 Apr-61 850402 May-61 1061542 Jun-61 1399669 Jul-61 1756448 Aug-61 1847438 Sep-61 1496796 Oct-61 919924 Nov-61 586382 Dec-61 646156 Jan-62 625385 Feb-62 580015 Mar-62 743655 Apr-62 1020903 May-62 1121636 Jun-62 1634299 Jul-62 1937429 Aug-62 2035124 Sep-62 1704947 Oct-62 1011397 Nov-62 694996 Dec-62 683625 Jan-63 657964 Feb-63 612500 Mar-63 858905 Apr-63 1163779 May-63 1317240 Jun-63 1783883 Jul-63 2108593 Aug-63 2284590 Sep-63 1867816 Oct-63 1191920 Nov-63 801596 Dec-63 857366 Jan-64 807679 Feb-64 788196 Mar-64 1048586 Apr-64 1255374 May-64 1573484 Jun-64 1911323 Jul-64 2354975 Aug-64 2542235 Sep-64 2109808 Oct-64 1375667 Nov-64 890593 Dec-64 979486 Jan-65 965827 Feb-65 897714 Mar-65 1115193 Apr-65 1563826 May-65 1778045 Jun-65 2205766 Jul-65 2713964 Aug-65 2742043 Sep-65 2380606 Oct-65 1512508 Nov-65 973985 Dec-65 1068763 Jan-66 1087340 Feb-66 969272 Mar-66 1265028 Apr-66 1701940 May-66 2058939 Jun-66 2636247 Jul-66 3210275 Aug-66 3061109 Sep-66 2625751 Oct-66 1671856 Nov-66 1081541 Dec-66 1212277 Jan-67 1199597 Feb-67 1056882 Mar-67 1500550 Apr-67 1735761 May-67 2174310 Jun-67 2631107 Jul-67 3253677 Aug-67 3268274 Sep-67 2873605 Oct-67 1880510 Nov-67 1192294 Dec-67 1236054 Jan-68 1215508 Feb-68 1118232 Mar-68 1423272 Apr-68 1906685 May-68 2131697 Jun-68 2707450 Jul-68 3330512 Aug-68 3400440 Sep-68 2900354 Oct-68 1931887 Nov-68 1349876 Dec-68 1429236 Jan-69 1370282 Feb-69 1152502 Mar-69 1595398 Apr-69 2124574 May-69 2499139 Jun-69 3047764 Jul-69 3695421 Aug-69 3896704 Sep-69 3278670 Oct-69 2250074 Nov-69 1566806 Dec-69 1586665 Jan-70 1558779 Feb-70 1372360 Mar-70 1916043 Apr-70 2319737 May-70 2859886 Jun-70 3320953 Jul-70 4083588 Aug-70 4310411 Sep-70 3694298 Oct-70 2597824 Nov-70 1773469 Dec-70 1799107 Jan-71 1685936 Feb-71 1536816 Mar-71 2024020 Apr-71 2742061 May-71 3107840 Jun-71 3680119 Jul-71 4442288 Aug-71 4494104 Sep-71 4028188 Oct-71 3039392 Nov-71 2074668 Dec-71 2078112 Jan-72 2146686 Feb-72 1853645 Mar-72 2570660 Apr-72 3014801 May-72 3411970 Jun-72 3873119 Jul-72 4561850 Aug-72 4675484 Sep-72 4433030 Oct-72 3479913 Nov-72 2571051 Dec-72 2533162 Jan-73 2475183 Feb-73 2209503 Mar-73 2867487 Apr-73 3611085 May-73 3690609 Jun-73 4212078 Jul-73 4993179 Aug-73 5077506 Sep-73 4704810 Oct-73 3661353 Nov-73 2910876 Dec-73 2710869 Jan-74 2568027 Feb-74 2223459 Mar-74 2776614 Apr-74 3280998 May-74 3352545 Jun-74 3902043 Jul-74 4494879 Aug-74 4632681 Sep-74 4318593 Oct-74 3417636 Nov-74 2573868 Dec-74 2547042 Jan-75 2505975 Feb-75 2185866 Mar-75 2903610 Apr-75 3099618 May-75 3658422 Jun-75 4076472 Jul-75 4782486 Aug-75 4996848 Sep-75 4517715 Oct-75 3765096 Nov-75 2679444 Dec-75 2674236 Jan-76 2703186 Feb-76 2419050 Mar-76 2994647 Apr-76 3536033 May-76 3906095 Jun-76 4274977 Jul-76 5053999 Aug-76 5138735 Sep-76 4757784 Oct-76 3982849 Nov-76 2983808 Dec-76 2914613 Jan-77 2955452 Feb-77 2644937 Mar-77 3371198 Apr-77 3340945 May-77 3998445 Jun-77 4561345 Jul-77 5451880 Aug-77 5039909 Sep-77 4516740 Oct-77 3880263 Nov-77 3122215 Dec-77 3043898 Jan-78 3101018 Feb-78 2785397 Mar-78 3782159 Apr-78 3878905 May-78 4478296 Jun-78 5116541 Jul-78 5968551 Aug-78 5858728 Sep-78 5581965 Oct-78 4775295 Nov-78 3662687 Dec-78 3486300 Jan-79 3216724 Feb-79 3027786 Mar-79 3948857 Apr-79 4646039 May-79 5000940 Jun-79 5614225 Jul-79 6413342 Aug-79 6534613 Sep-79 6097579 Oct-79 5184357 Nov-79 3732783 Dec-79 3574889 Jan-80 3561713 Feb-80 3428435 Mar-80 4253727 Apr-80 4517356 May-80 5035845 Jun-80 5655997 Jul-80 6334394 Aug-80 6682731 Sep-80 6069496 Oct-80 5081927 Nov-80 3619716 Dec-80 3577011 Jan-81 3578924 Feb-81 3311566 Mar-81 3996870 Apr-81 4533936 May-81 4914468 Jun-81 5495269 Jul-81 6422499 Aug-81 6768986 Sep-81 6271108 Oct-81 5271875 Nov-81 3749124 Dec-81 3455159 Jan-82 3721008 Feb-82 3418972 Mar-82 4104807 Apr-82 4685327 May-82 5155612 Jun-82 5809547 Jul-82 6709134 Aug-82 6688273 Sep-82 6250226 Oct-82 5170945 Nov-82 3538143 Dec-82 3526171 Jan-83 3628888 Feb-83 3247641 Mar-83 4274932 Apr-83 4519551 May-83 5337693 Jun-83 6186416 Jul-83 7051450 Aug-83 6924549 Sep-83 6718892 Oct-83 5547278 Nov-83 3830419 Dec-83 3831755 Jan-84 3889896 Feb-84 3643720 Mar-84 4437057 Apr-84 5178801 May-84 6012586 Jun-84 6919782 Jul-84 7622178 Aug-84 7754759 Sep-84 7574939 Oct-84 6083860 Nov-84 4271495 Dec-84 4171087 Jan-85 4181661 Feb-85 3862720 Mar-85 5070465 Apr-85 5339871 May-85 6180362 Jun-85 7169573 Jul-85 7820294 Aug-85 8067855 Sep-85 7585472 Oct-85 6268646 Nov-85 4474247 Dec-85 4413436 Jan-86 4479901 Feb-86 4096412 Mar-86 5266929 Apr-86 5285415 May-86 6612041 Jun-86 7491238 Jul-86 8286241 Aug-86 8762099 Sep-86 8213808 Oct-86 7066361 Nov-86 4830298 Dec-86 4769516 Jan-87 4729501 Feb-87 4469822 Mar-87 5569398 Apr-87 6363349 May-87 7983511 Jun-87 8767945 Jul-87 9840852 Aug-87 10034131 Sep-87 9335671 Oct-87 8099349 Nov-87 5515730 Dec-87 5311816 Jan-88 5492422 Feb-88 5284748 Mar-88 6515628 Apr-88 6730279 May-88 8228546 Jun-88 9343189 Jul-88 10366558 Aug-88 10351429 Sep-88 10011877 Oct-88 8723751 Nov-88 6122589 Dec-88 5990513 Jan-89 6004068 Feb-89 5681440 Mar-89 7253748 Apr-89 7185145 May-89 8765613 Jun-89 9884306 Jul-89 10822046 Aug-89 10847358 Sep-89 10478072 Oct-89 9046325 Nov-89 6542906 Dec-89 6328755 Jan-90 6447107 Feb-90 6161484 Mar-90 7550809 Apr-90 8149361 May-90 9039831 Jun-90 10055535 Jul-90 11058780 Aug-90 11169510 Sep-90 10578194 Oct-90 9093768 Nov-90 6724410 Dec-90 6398194 Jan-91 5843842 Feb-91 4927100 Mar-91 6769808 Apr-91 6937412 May-91 8297634 Jun-91 9239859 Jul-91 10229488 Aug-91 10699592 Sep-91 10251479 Oct-91 9125095 Nov-91 6816785 Dec-91 6631570 Jan-92 6574758 Feb-92 6442083 Mar-92 7522214 Apr-92 8326713 May-92 9515653 Jun-92 10211133 Jul-92 11372193 Aug-92 11730827 Sep-92 10913848 Oct-92 9569930 Nov-92 7049529 Dec-92 6893832 Jan-93 6918024 Feb-93 6601308 Mar-93 8014675 Apr-93 8741328 May-93 9840712 Jun-93 10727958 Jul-93 11962304 Aug-93 12341140 Sep-93 11709214 Oct-93 10510082 Nov-93 7469588 Dec-93 7444319 Jan-94 7362745 Feb-94 7078960 Mar-94 8949353 Apr-94 9043530 May-94 10714426 Jun-94 11909121 Jul-94 13282565 Aug-94 13410152 Sep-94 12883824 Oct-94 11477110 Nov-94 8160576 Dec-94 8092693 Jan-95 7920563 Feb-95 7509796 Mar-95 9279820 Apr-95 10103484 May-95 11500200 Jun-95 12622963 Jul-95 13897823 Aug-95 13908318 Sep-95 13335242 Oct-95 11925128 Nov-95 8828557 Dec-95 8754162 Jan-96 8442025 Feb-96 8441009 Mar-96 10338077 Apr-96 10317105 May-96 11795897 Jun-96 13029982 Jul-96 13853915 Aug-96 14420973 Sep-96 13651769 Oct-96 12507141 Nov-96 9717640 Dec-96 9482312 Jan-97 8984709 Feb-97 8923614 Mar-97 11099090 Apr-97 11106622 May-97 13068124 Jun-97 14120972 Jul-97 14910370 Aug-97 15689520 Sep-97 14755268 Oct-97 13696303 Nov-97 10481052 Dec-97 9987288 Jan-98 9732719 Feb-98 9684704 Mar-98 11699288 Apr-98 12228758 May-98 14135181 Jun-98 15163757 Jul-98 16446251 Aug-98 16946176 Sep-98 16077427 Oct-98 14786248 Nov-98 11296797 Dec-98 10799482 Jan-99 10521960 Feb-99 10519786 Mar-99 12922608 Apr-99 12762605 May-99 14602201 Jun-99 16147631 Jul-99 17495871 Aug-99 17830425 Sep-99 16805539 Oct-99 15904031 Nov-99 12026525 Dec-99 10938571