Theresa R Smith

4 West 5.15
Dept of Mathematical Sciences
University of Bath
Bath BA2 7AY
United Kingdom
email: t.r.smith 'at' bath.ac.uk

I am a Senior Lecturer (Associate Professor) in Statistics in the Department of Mathematical Sciences at the University of Bath and Deputy Director of the SAMBa CDT. I graduated from the University of Pittsburgh in 2009 with a BA in History and a BS in Statistics. I did my PhD in Statistics at the University of Washington from 2009 to 2014.

Research Interests

Applications of statistics to health and the social sciences.
Methods for data with spatial or longitudinal dependence.
Development and communication of clinical decision support tools.

Recent Publications

Gascoigne, C., Riebler, A., and Smith, T. (2025) Smooth predictions for age- period-cohort models: a comparison between splines and random proces. BMC Medical Research Methodology.
Rudge, A., McHugh, N., Tillett, W., Smith, T. (2025) An interpretable machine learning approach for detecting psoriatic arthritis in a UK primary care psoriasis cohort using electronic health records from the Clinical Practice Research Datalink. Annals of the Rheumatic Diseases.
Gascoigne, C., Smith, T., Paige, J., Wakefield, J. (2025) Estimating subnational under-five mortality rates using a spatio-temporal Age-Period-Cohort model. Spatial and Spatio-temporal Epidemiology.
Rudge, A., Brown, S.T., Ransom, M., Helliwell, P.S., Packham, J., Tillett, W., Smith, T., McHugh N.J. (2024) Incidence of Psoriatic Arthritis in a Primary Care Psoriasis Population in the United Kingdom. The Journal of Rheumatology.

Current Funded Projects

Total bUrden of Long-Term PSoriasis - TULiPS. An NIHR Programme Development Grant (2024 - 2026).
Inflatable Prone Repositioning Device. Funded by NIHR's Invention for Innovation (i4i) Programme (2024 - 2026).
AI for Collective Intelligence. A UKRI AI Research Hub Led by the University of Bristol (Theme Lead for Healthcare Ecosystems, 2024 - 2029).
Centre of Excellence in Water-Based Early-Warning Systems for Health Protection. Funded by Research England's E3 program. (2024 - 2029).
Super Rehab trials in collaboration with the Royal United Hospital in Bath (2022 – ongoing). Funders: Study 1 (Coronary Artery Disease) – NIHR; Study 2 (Atrial Fibrillation) – RUHX; Study 3 (Coronary Microvascular Dysfunction) – Heart Research UK.

News

Congratulations to Alex Rudge who passed his viva with minor corrections in June 2025!
I am joining the Editorial Board of the Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series C (Applied Statistics) in January 2025.
I am thrilled to be a Theme Lead for Healthcare Ecosystems in the new £12M AI for Collective Intelligence (AI4CI) research hub led by Bristol with partners in Cardiff, Exeter, UCL, Glasgow and Ulster.
Starting in February 2024, I am Head of Group for Statistics and Probability and Deputy Director of the SAMBa CDT. I look forward to supporting the transformation of our teaching programmes at all levels and continuing to strengthen Bath's reputation for interdisciplinary and industrial collaboration in mathematics.

CV Google Scholar

Last Modified: 12 August 2025