Books
Shaddick, G., Zidek, J.V. Spatio-Temporal Methods in Environmental Epidemiology. 395 pages. 2015. CRC Press/Chapman and Hall

Ward, H., Toledano, M., Shaddick, G., Davies, B., Elliott, P. 416 pages. Oxford Handbook of Epidemiology for Clinicians. May 2012. Oxford University Press

Submitted
Morrison, K. T., Shaddick, G., Thomas, M., Buckeridge, D. L., Henderson, S. B.Improving forecast accuracy in environmental public health surveillance: a spatio-temporal approach. Biostatistics.

Shaddick, G., Thomas, M. L., Jobling, A., Brauer, M., Donkelaar, A. V., Burnett, R., Chang, H., Cohen, A., Dingenen, R. V., Dora, C., Gumy, S., Liu, Y., Martin, R., Waller, L. A., West, J., Zidek, J. V., Prüss-Ustün, A. Data Integration Model for Air Quality: A Hierarchical Approach to the Global Estimation of Exposures to Ambient Air Pollution. Royal Statistical Society Series C (Applied Statistics).

Accepted
Deepak R. Jadon, Raj Sengupta, Alison Nightingale, Mark Lindsay, Eleanor Korendowych, Graham Robinson, Amelia Jobling, Gavin Shaddick, Robert Winchester, Jon T. Giles, Neil J. McHugh. Axial Disease In Psoriatic Arthritis (ADIPSA) study: Defining the clinical and radiographic phenotype of psoriatic spondyloarthritis. Annals of the Rheumatic Diseases

William Tillett, Gavin Shaddick, Amelia Jobling, Matthew Thomas, Ayman Askari, Annie Cooper, Paul Creamer, Gavin Clunie, Philip S. Helliwell, Jana James, Lesley Kay, Eleanor Korendowych, Suzanne Lane, Jonathon Packham, Ragai Shaban, Lyn Williamson and Neil McHugh. Effect of anti-TNF and csDMARD treatment on work disability and clinical outcome in a multicentre observational cohort study of psoriatic arthritis. Rheumatology

Holland, R., Hyrich, K., Pauling, J D., Shaddick, G., Nightingale, A., McHugh, N. Factors Associated with Sustained Remission in Rheumatoid Arthritis in Patients Treated with Anti-Tumour Necrosis Factor. Arthritis Care and Research

Gabe-Thomas, E., Walker, I., Verplanken, B., Shaddick, G., Householders' Mental Models of Domestic Energy Consumption: Using a Sort-and-Cluster Method to Identify Shared Concepts of Appliance Similarity. PLOS ONE

S. Tansley, G. Shaddick, L. Christopher-Stine, C. Sharp, L. Dourmishev, B. Maurer, H. Chinoy, N. McHugh. Developing Standardised Treatment for Adults with Myositis and different Phenotypes: an international survey of current prescribing preferences. Clinical and Experimental Rheumatology

Published
Wood, S.N., Li, Z, Shaddick, G., Generalized additive models for gigadata: modelling the UK black smoke network daily data. Journal of the American Statistical Association. DOI:10.1080/01621459.2016.1195744

Betteridge, Zoe, Woodhead, Felix, Lu, Hui, Shaddick, Gavin, Bunn, Christopher, Denton, Christopher, Abraham, David, DuBois, Ronald, Lewis, Mervyn, Wells, Athol, McHugh, Neil. Anti-Eukaryotic Initiation Factor 2B Autoantibodies are Associated with Interstitial Lung Disease in Patients with Systemic Sclerosis. in Arthritis and Rheumatology. doi: 10.1002/art.39755

Liu, Y., Shaddick, G., Zidek, J.V. Incorporating high dimensional exposure modelling into studies of air pollution and health. Statistics in Biosciences. DOI: 10.1007/s12561-016-9150-3

Shaddick, G., Zidek, J.V., Liu, Y. Mitigating the effects of preferentially selected monitoring sites for environmental policy and health risk analysis. Spatial and Spatio-temporal Epidemiology. doi:10.1016/j.sste.2016.03.005

Morrison, K., Shaddick, G, Henderson, S., Buckeridge, D. A latent process model for forecasting multiple time series in environmental public health surveillance. Statistics in Medicine. DOI: 10.1002/sim.6904

Tillett, W., Shaddick, G., Jadon, D., Robinson, G., Korendowych, E., McHugh, N. 2016. A novel composite radiographic score for longitudinal observational studies of Psoriatic Arthritis: Reductive X-ray Score for Psoriatic Arthritis - a proof of concept study. The Journal of Rheumatology vol. 43 no. 2 367-370

Brauer, M., Freedman, G., Frostad, J. , ..., Shaddick, G., ; et al. Ambient Air Pollution Exposure Estimation for the Global Burden of Disease 2013. (2015). Ambient air pollution exposure estimation for the Global Burden of Disease 2013. Environmental science and technology, 50(1), 79-88.

Li, R., Gu, C., Li, F., Shaddick, G. ; Dale, M., 2015. Development of Low Voltage Network Template Part I- Load Profile Clustering and Substation Classification: substation clustering and classification. IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, 30, 6981990

Li, R., Gu, C., Li, F., Shaddick, G., Dale, M., 2015. Development of low voltage network templates - Part II peak load estimation by clusterwise regression: peak load estimation by clusterwise regression. IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, 30, 6981996

Forouzanfar, M. H., Alexander, L., Anderson, H. R., Bachman, V. F., ..., Shaddick, G., et al. 2015. ; Global, regional, and national comparative risk assessment of 79 behavioural, environmental and occupational, and metabolic risks or clusters of risks in 188 countries, 1990-2013: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013.The Lancet

Jadon, D. R., Shaddick, G., Tillett, W., Korendowych, E., Robinson, G., Waldron, N., Cavill, C. McHugh, N. J., 2015. Psoriatic Arthritis Mutilans: Characteristics and Natural Radiographic History. The Journal of Rheumatology

Jadon, D. R., Shaddick, G., Jobling, A., Ramanan, A. V. and Sengupta, R., 2015. Clinical outcomes and progression to orthopedic surgery in juvenile- versus adult-onset ankylosing spondylitis. Arthritis Care and Research, 67, pp. 651-657.

Tillett, W., Shaddick, G.,, Askari, A., Cooper, A., Creamer, P., Clunie, G., Helliwell, P. S., Kay, L., Korendowych, E., Lane, S., Packham, J., Shaban, R., Williamson, L. McHugh, N., 2015. Factors influencing work disability in psoriatic arthritis:first results from a large UK multicentre study. Rheumatology, 54, pp. 157-162.

Shaddick, G.,Zidek, J.V. 2014. A case study in preferential sampling: Long term monitoring of air pollution in the UK. Spatial Statistics, 9, pp 51-65.

Tillett, W., Jadon, D., Shaddick, G., Robinson, G., Sengupta, R., Korendowych, E., De Vries, C.S. McHugh, N.J., 2014. Feasibility, reliability, and sensitivity to change of four radiographic scoring methods in patients with psoriatic arthritis. Arthritis Care and Research, 66, pp. 311-317.

Zidek, J. V., Shaddick, G. and Taylor, C. G., 2014. Reducing estimation bias in adaptively changing monitoring networks with preferential site selection. Annals of Applied Statistics, 8, pp. 1640-1670.

Tansley, S. L., Betteridge, Z. E., Shaddick, G., Gunawardena, H., Arnold, K., Wedderburn, L. R., McHugh, N. J., 2014. Calcinosis in juvenile dermatomyositis is influenced by both anti-NXP2 autoantibody status and age at disease onset. Rheumatology, 53, pp. 2204-2208.

Shaddick, G., Yan, H. and Vienneau, D., 2013. A Bayesian hierarchical model for assessing the impact of human activity on nitrogen dioxide concentrations in Europe. Environmental and Ecological Statistics, 20, pp. 553-570.

Roberts, S. P., Trewartha, G., England, M., Shaddick, G. ; and Stokes, K. A., 2013. Epidemiology of time-loss injuries in English community-level rugby union. BMJ Open, 3, e003998.

Strickland, G., Pauling, J., Cavill, C., Shaddick, G. ; and McHugh, N., 2013. Mortality in systemic sclerosis-a single centre study from the UK. Clinical Rheumatology, 32, pp. 1533-1539.

Tillett, W., Jadon, D., Shaddick, G., Cavill, C., Korendowych, E., De Vries, C. S. and McHugh, N., 2013. Smoking and delay to diagnosis are associated with poorer functional outcome in psoriatic arthritis. Annals of the Rheumatic Diseases, 72, pp. 1358-1361.

Shaddick, G., Lee, D. and Wakefield, J., 2013. Ecological bias in studies of the short–term effects of air pollution on health. International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation, 22, pp. 65-74.

Zhang, Y., Li, F., Hu, Z. and Shaddick, G., 2013. Quantification of low voltage network reinforcement costs: A statistical approach. IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, 28, 6299007.

Shaddick, G., Yan, H., Salway, R., Vienneau, D., Kounali, D. and Briggs, D., 2013. Large-scale Bayesian spatial modelling of air pollution for policy support. Journal of Applied Statistics, 40, pp. 777-794.

Elliott, P., Shaddick, G., Douglass, M., De Hoogh, K., Briggs, D.J. and Toledano, M.B., 2013. Adult cancers near high-voltage overhead power lines. Epidemiology, 24, pp. 184-190.

Fantke, P., Friedrich, R., Wieland, P., Juraske, R., Shaddick, G., Itoiz, E.S. and Jolliet, O., 2012. Parameterization models for pesticide exposure via crop consumption. Environmental Science and Technology, 46, pp. 12864-12872.

Bornn, L., Shaddick, G. ; and Zidek, J. V., 2012. Modeling non-stationary processes through dimension expansion. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 107, pp. 281-289.

Tillett, W., Shaddick, G., Korendowych, E., De Vries, C. S. and McHugh, N., 2012. Joint count reliability in psoriatic arthritis observational trials: an unreported problem. Rheumatology, 51, pp. 1333-1334.

Lee, D. and Shaddick, G. 2010. Spatial modeling of air pollution in studies of its short-term health effects. Biometrics, 66, pp. 1238-1246.

Salway, R., Lee, D., Shaddick, G. ; and Walker, S., 2010. Bayesian latent variable modelling in studies of air pollution and health. Statistics in Medicine, 29, pp. 2732-2742.

Shaddick, G., Lee, D., Zidek, J. V. and Salway, R., 2008. Estimating exposure response functions using ambient pollution concentrations. Annals of Applied Statistics, 2, pp. 1249-1270.

Lee, D. and Shaddick, G., 2008. Modelling the effects of air pollution on health using Bayesian dynamic generalised linear models. Environmetrics, 19, pp. 785-804.

Zidek, J. V., Shaddick, G., Meloche, J., Chatfield, C. and White, R., 2007. A framework for predicting personal exposures to environmental hazards. Environmental and Ecological Statistics, 14, pp. 411-431.

Lee, D. and Shaddick, G. 2007. Time-varying coefficient models for the analysis of air pollution and health outcome data. Biometrics, 63, pp. 1253-1261.

Elliott, P., Shaddick, G., Wakefield, J. C., de Hoogh, C. and Briggs, D. J., 2007. Long-term associations of outdoor air pollution with mortality in Great Britain. Thorax, 62, pp. 1088-1094.

Shaddick, G., Choo, L. L. and Walker, S. G., 2007. Modelling correlated count data with covariates. Journal of Statistical Computation and Simulation, 77 Nov-Dec, pp. 945-954.

Wakefield, J. and Shaddick, G. 2006. Health-exposure modeling and the ecological fallacy. Biostatistics, 7, pp. 438-455.

Zidek, J. V., Shaddick, G., White, R., Meloche, J. and Chatfield, C., 2005. Using a probabilistic model ; to estimate personal exposure to air pollution. Environmetrics, 16, pp. 481-493.

Petrakis, M., Kopania, T., Psiloglou, B., Briggs, D., Hoek, G., Aaheim, A., Shaddick, G., Sifakis, N. and Retalis, A., 2005. GIS and Remote Sensing Techniques in Emission Mapping for Health Management in Europe. IASME Transactions, 2, p. 383.

Shaddick, G. and Wakefield, J. 2002. Modelling daily multivariate pollutant data at multiple sites. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C-Applied Statistics, 51, pp. 351-372.

Elliott, P., Eaton, N., Shaddick, G., Carter, R. Cancer incidence near municipal solid waste incinerators in Great Britain 2: Histopathological and case-note review of primary liver cancer cases. Br. J Cancer 2000; 82:1103-6.

Wilkinson, P., Elliott, P., Grundy, C., Shaddick, G., Thakrar, B., Walls, P., Falconer, S. Case-control study of hospital admissions with asthma in children aged 5-14 years: relation with road traffic in North West London. Thorax 1999; 54: 1070-1074.

Diggle, P., Elliott, P., Morris, S., Shaddick, G. Regression modelling of disease risk in relation to point sources. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A; 1997, 1690: 491-505.

Eaton, N., Shaddick, G., Dolk, H., Elliott, P. Small-area study of the incidence of neoplasms of the brain and central nervous system among adults in the West Midlands Region, 1974-86. Br J Cancer; 1997, 75:1080-83

Wilkinson, P., Thakrar, B., Shaddick, G.,, Stevenson, S., Pattenden, S., Landon, M., Grundy, C., Elliott, P. Cancer incidence and mortality around the Pan Britannica Industries pesticide factory, Waltham Abbey. Occup Environ Med 1997;54: 101-107.

Dolk, H., Elliott, P., Shaddick, G.,Walls, P., Thakrar, B. Cancer incidence near radio and television transmitters in Great Britain II. All high power transmitters. Am J Epidemiol 1997; 145:10-17

Dolk, H., Shaddick, G., Walls, P., Grundy, C., Thakrar, B., Kleinschmidt, I., Elliott, P. Cancer incidence near radio and television transmitters in Great Britain I. Sutton Coldfield transmitter. Am J Epidemiol 1997; 145:1-9.

Shaddick, G. and Elliott, P. Use of Stone’s method in studies of disease risk around point sources of environmental pollution. Statistics in Medicine 1996;15:1927-1932.

Livingston, A., Shaddick, G., Grundy, C., Elliott, P. Do people living near inner city main roads have more asthma needing treatment? A case-control study using routine general practice data. Br Med J 1996;312: 676-677.

Elliott, P., Shaddick, G., Kleinschmidt, I,. Jolley, D., Walls, P., Beresford, J., Grundy, C. Cancer incidence near municipal solid waste incinerators in Great Britain. Br J Cancer 1996; 73: 702-710.

Dolk, H., Mertens, B., Kleinschmidt, I., Walls, P., Shaddick, G., Elliott, P. A standardisation approach to the control of socio-economic confounding in small areas studies of environment and health. J Epidemiol Community Health 1995;49 : S9-S14.

Elliott, P., Martuzzi, M., Shaddick, G. Spatial statistical methods in environmental epidemiology: A critique. Stat Methods Med Res 1995;4:139-161.

Sans, S., Elliott, P., Kleinschmidt, I., Shaddick, G., Pattenden, S., Walls, P., Grundy, C., Dolk, H. Cancer incidence and mortality near the Baglan Bay petrochemical works, South Wales. Occup Env Med 1995;52:217-224.

Published Conference Contributions
W. Tillett, Shaddick, G., A. Jobling, M. Thomas, E. Korendowych, and N. McHugh. 2015. OP0001 Work Disability after initiation of Anti-TNF and DMARD Treatment in Psoriatic Arthritis; Investigator led, UK, Multicentre Observational Cohort Study . Annals of the Rheumatic Diseases, 74:64.

Tansley, S. L., Gunawardena, H., Betteridge, Z. E., Arnold, K., Shaddick, G., Wedderburn, L. R., and McHugh, N. J. 2014. O57. Autoantibody in Juvenile Dermatomyositis Reflects Disease Activity: Results of a Pilot Study. Rheumatology, 53, i54-i55.

Jadon, D. R., Shaddick, G., Tillett, W., Robinson, G., Cavill, C., Waldron, N., McHugh, N. J. 2014. Psoriatic Arthritis Mutilans: Characteristics and Radiographic Progression. Arthritis and Rheumatology.

Jadon, D. R., Shaddick, G., Jobling, A., Ramanan, A. V., and Sengupta, R. 2014. Progression to and Type of Orthopaedic Surgery in Juvenile Vs. Adult-Onset Ankylosing Spondylitis. In Arthritis and Rheumatology .

Gunasekera, W., Shaddick, G., Jobling, A., Smith, A., and Sengupta, R. 2014. Diagnostic Delay Worsens Mobility And Work Disability In Ankylosing Spondylitis. In Annals Of The Rheumatic Diseases.

Sarah L. Tansley, Harsha Gunawardena, Zoe E. Betteridge, Katie Arnold, Gavin Shaddick, Lucy R. Wedderburn, and Neil J. McHugh. O57. 2014. Autoantibody in Juvenile Dermatomyositis Reflects Disease Activity: Results of a Pilot Study. Rheumatology ; 53

Vermaak, E., Shaddick, G., and McHugh, N. J. 2013. Mortality In Polymyositis and Dermatomyositis: A Single Centre Study. In Arthritis And Rheumatism.

Jadon, Deepak R, Ramanan, A. V., Shaddick, G. and Sengupta, R. 2013. Primary and Subsequent Orthopedic Surgeries More Common In Juvenile Vs. Adult-Onset Ankylosing Spondylitis. Arthritis And Rheumatism. Vol. 65.

Tillett, W., Jadon, D., Shaddick, G.,Cavill, C., Robinson, G., Sengupta, R., McHugh, N. 2014. The Feasibility, Reliability And Sensitivity To Change Of Four Radiographic Scoring Methods In Patients With Psoriatic Arthritis. Rheumatology.

Tansley, S. L., Betteridge, Z. E., Gunawardena, H., Shaddick, G., Varsani, H., Wedderburn, L., and McHugh, N. 2013. Anti-Nxp2 Autoantibody Status Is A Predictor Of Calcinosis In Older But Not Younger Children Who Develop Juvenile Dermatomyositis. Rheumatology .

Sabel C, Shaddick, G., Blangiardo M, Salway R, Zenie A, Denby B and Gerharz L. 2011. Uncertainty analysis within the EU HEIMTSA ; project. Epidemiology, 22,, S176-S177.

Toledano M, Elliott P, Briggs D, Best N, de Hoogh C, Shaddick, G. Adult cancers near overhead powerlines. Epidemiology. 18 : S130-S130, Suppl. S 2007

Shaddick, G., Zidek JV, Lee D, White R, Meloche J, Chatfield, C. Using a probabilistic model ; to estimate personal exposure to air pollution in a study of the short-term effect of PM10 on mortality. Epidemiology 17 : S158-S158 Suppl. S, 2006

Toledano M, Briggs D, Best N, de Hoogh C, Shaddick, G., Elliott, P. Adult cancers near overhead powerlines. Epidemiology 17 : S156-S156, Suppl. S 2006

Miranda M, Shaddick, G., Dunn R, Li F and Bell K. Bayesian Inferencing for Wind Resource Characterisation. 2006. International conference on probabilistic methods applied to power systems, VOLS 1 AND 2 : 86-91, 2006

Shaddick, G.,, Kounali D, Briggs DJ, Beelen R, Hoek G, de Hoogh C, Pebesma E, Vienneau D. . Using Bayesian hierarchical modelling to produce high resolution maps of air pollution in the EU. Epidemiology. 16 . pp. S89.

Shaddick, G., Zidek JV, White R, Meloche J, Chatfield C. . Results of using a probabilistic model to estimate personal exposure to air pollution on a study of the short term effect of PM10 on mortality. Epidemiology. 16 . pp. S90.

Briggs DJ, Beelen R, Hoek G, de Hoogh C, Pebesma E, Shaddick, G., Vienneau D. . Modelling high resolution variations in air pollution at the continental scale: A comparison of GIS-based methods. Epidemiology. 16 . pp. S84.

Shaddick, G., Wakefield J. . Hierarchical time series models for examining the relationship between air pollution and health using modelled exposures. Epidemiology. 14 . pp. S97-S98. supplement: Suppl. 1

Briggs D, Aahiem A, Hoek G, Petrakis M, Shaddick, G., Dore C. . Constructing a high resolution air pollution map of Europe for epidemiological applications: The APMoSPHERE project. Epidemiology. 14 . pp. S36. supplement: Suppl. 1

Shaddick, G., Zidek JV, Meloche J, Chatfield C, White RF. . A computational model for estimating personal exposure to air pollutants for use in studies examining the relationship between air pollution and health. Epidemiology. 14 . pp. S98. supplement: Suppl. 1

Martuzzi M, Mitis F, Shaddick, G. Using hierarchical modelling for health impact assessment of environmental analysis. Epidemiology. 13 . pp. S130.

Shaddick, G., Wakefield J. . The effects of modelling pollution levels on the relative risk obtained from time series studies examining the relationship between air pollution and health. Epidemiology. 13 . pp. S255.

Shaddick, G., Wakefield J, Elliott P. . Modelling the effect of cold winter temperatures on mortality. Epidemiology. 13 . pp. S220.

Shaddick, G., Wakefield J, Briggs D, Elliott P. . Modelling the association between mortality and long term exposure to air pollution. Epidemiology. 13 . pp. S119.

Shaddick, G., Wakefield, Elliott, P. ; Modelling levels of pollution for use in time series studies examining the relationship between air pollution and health . Epidemiology 11 . pp S103

Briggs D, Elliott P, Shaddick, G., Fraser A. ; Changing geographic relationships between air pollution and cardio-respiratory mortality in Great Britain, 1962-1996. Epidemiology 11 ; pp S103

Book Chapters
Toledano MB, Elliott P, ; Shaddick, G. Seasonal variations in all cause and cardiovascular mortality and the role of temperature. In Coronary Heart Disease Epidemiology: from aetiology to public health. Second edition. Eds: Marmot M and Elliott P. Oxford University Press, Oxford. 2006.

Miranda, M.S., Shaddick, G. ; and Dunn, R.W., 2006. Spatial characterisation of wind resource using a Bayesian approach. In: European Wind Energy Conference and Exhibition 2006, EWEC 2006.Vol. 3, pp. 2221-2227

Ward MC, Brace CJ, Vaughan ND, Shaddick, G., Ceen R, Hale T, Kennedy G. Bayesian statistics in engine mapping. Statistics and analytical methods in automotive engineering. 2002 . pp. 3-16. ; IMechE conference proceedings.

Commercial reports
;Shaddick, G, Jobling, A. South Wales Voltage Reduction Analysis.

;Walker, I., Shaddick, G., Ravoire, E., Jobling. A. Modelling demand profiles in the I&C sector.

;Dale, M., Kauffman, B., Shaddick, G, West, P. Network Templates Closedown Report.
Shaddick, G, Jobling, A., Kauffman, B. Appendix C.

;Dale, M., Shaddick, G, Kauffman, B., Li, F. Network Templates Final Report.

; Shaddick, G. Report on use of proxy PV FiT meters to reflect local area Generation.

;Li, F. and Shaddick, G. Stresses on the LV Network caused by Low Carbon Technologies.